Next Serbian parliamentary election

Parliamentary elections will be held in Serbia by 30 April 2026 to elect members of the National Assembly.

Next Serbian parliamentary election
Serbia
by 30 April 2026

All 250 seats in the National Assembly
126 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeader Current seats
SNS coalition Aleksandar Vučić 109
SPSZS Ivica Dačić 23
Ujedinjeni Marinika Tepić 15
NADA Miloš Jovanović 14
Narodna Vuk Jeremić 12
DS Zoran Lutovac 10
Zavetnici Milica Đurđević
Stamenkovski
8
Zajedno Nebojša Zelenović 8
JS Dragan Marković 8
SDPS Rasim Ljajić 7
Dveri Boško Obradović 6
PUPS Milan Krkobabić 6
VMSZ István Pásztor 5
ZP Jahja Fehratović 5
NDB Radomir Lazović 5
Independents 9
Incumbent Prime Minister
Ana Brnabić
SNS

The Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) came to power after the 2012 election when it formed a coalition government with the Socialist Party of Serbia (SPS). In the 2022 parliamentary election, SNS lost its supermajority of seats while opposition parties returned to the National Assembly. The United for the Victory of Serbia (UZPS) coalition, which placed second in the 2022 election, was dissolved shortly afterwards. Ana Brnabić, who has been the prime minister since 2017, and her third cabinet were inaugurated on 26 October 2022.

Background

A populist coalition led by the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) came to power after the 2012 election, along with the Socialist Party of Serbia (SPS).[1] Aleksandar Vučić, who initially served as deputy prime minister and later as prime minister, was elected president in 2017 and re-elected in 2022.[2][3] Since he came to power, observers have assessed that Serbia has suffered from democratic backsliding into authoritarianism, followed by a decline in media freedom and civil liberties.[4][5] In 2021, the V-Dem Institute categorised Serbia as an electoral autocracy and stated that the standards of judiciary and electoral integrity had declined in the past ten years.[6]:12–23

Environmental protests were held in Serbia in 2021 and early 2022, while its climax reached in November and December 2021.[7][8] A constitutional referendum was also held in January 2022, in which the voters decided on changing the Constitution in the part related to the judiciary.[9] A majority of voters voted in favour of changes, although only 30% of the voters turned out to vote.[10][11] In the 2022 general election, the Together We Can Do Everything coalition, led by SNS, lost its parliamentary majority, although the election also oversaw twelve ballot lists in total that crossed the 3% threshold.[12] Non-governmental organisations reported that electoral irregularities occurred during the voting day.[13][14][15] Following the election, the United for the Victory of Serbia (UZPS) coalition, which placed second, was dissolved.[16][17] Ana Brnabić, who has been the prime minister since 2017, and her cabinet were sworn in on 26 October 2022.[18] In March 2023, Vučić announced the formation of the People's Movement for the State.[19]

Electoral system

The 250 members of the National Assembly are elected by closed-list proportional representation from a single nationwide constituency. Seats are allocated using the d'Hondt method with an electoral threshold of 3% of all votes cast,[20] although the threshold is waived for ethnic minority parties.[21] Minority ballots need at least 5,000 signatories to qualify on ballot while non-minority ballots need 10,000.[22] As of 2020, 40% of the candidates on the electoral lists must be female.[23]

According to law, the parliamentary election is supposed to take place by 30 April 2026.[24] Following the Belgrade school shooting and Mladenovac and Smederevo shootings, Vučić said that a potential snap election could take place before September 2023.[25][26]

Political parties

The table below lists political parties and coalitions elected in the National Assembly after the 2022 parliamentary election.[27]

Name Ideology Political position Leader 2022 result
Votes (%) Seats
SNS–led coalition Populism Big tent Aleksandar Vučić 44.27%
120 / 250
United for the Victory of Serbia Anti-corruption Centre Marinika Tepić 14.09%
38 / 250
SPSJSZS Populism Big tent Ivica Dačić 11.79%
31 / 250
National Democratic Alternative National conservatism Right-wing Miloš Jovanović 5.54%
15 / 250
We Must Green politics Centre-left to left-wing Nebojša Zelenović 4.84%
13 / 250
DveriPOKS Serbian nationalism Right-wing to far-right Boško Obradović 3.92%
10 / 250
Serbian Party Oathkeepers Ultranationalism Far-right Milica Đurđević
Stamenkovski
3.82%
10 / 250
Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians Minority politics István Pásztor 1.63%
5 / 250
Justice and Reconciliation Party Usame Zukorlić 0.97%
3 / 250
DSHVZZV Tomislav Žigmanov 0.65%
2 / 250
SDA Sandžak Sulejman Ugljanin 0.56%
2 / 250
Party for Democratic Action Shaip Kamberi 0.27%
1 / 250

Current composition

Current parliamentary composition[28]
Groups Parties MPs
Seats Total
Aleksandar Vučić – Together We Can Do Everything SNS 98 109
PSS–BK 3
SNP 2
PS 2
SPO 2
NSS 1
BS 1
Ivica Dačić – Socialist Party of Serbia SPS 22 23
ZS 1
United – SSP, PSG, Reversal, Sloga SSP 9 15
PSG 3
PZP 1
USS Sloga 1
Fatherland 1
NADA – New DSS – POKS NDSS 7 14
POKS 7
People's Party Narodna 12 12
Democratic Party DS 10 10
Serbian Party Oathkeepers SSZ 8 8
Together – We Must Together 8 8
United Serbia – Dragan Marković Palma JS 7 8
Social Democratic Party of Serbia SDPS 7 7
Serbian Movement Dveri – Patriotic Bloc Dveri 6 6
PUPS – Solidarity and Justice PUPS 6 6
Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians VMSZ/SVM 5 5
For Reconciliation–SPP–USS–DSHV SPP 2 5
DSHV 1
USS 1
Independent 1
Green–Left Group, Do not let Belgrade drown, We Must NDB 5 5
Independents SDAS 2 9
NFS 1
NN–IJS 1
PVD/PDD 1
SSD 1
ZZV 1
Independents 2

Parties and coalitions

After the 2022 parliamentary election, Aleksandar Jovanović Ćuta, Biljana Stojković, and Nebojša Zelenović, who were representatives of the We Must coalition, formed a joint political party named Together, in June 2022.[29][30] Political Platform "Solidarity", which was also affiliated with the We Must coalition, merged into Together in January 2023.[31] The Party of Freedom and Justice, Movement of Free Citizens, Movement for Reversal, and United Trade Unions of Serbia "Sloga", who were apart of the UZPS coalition, formed the Ujedinjeni parliamentary group in the National Assembly in August 2022.[32][33]

Opinion polls

Local regression chart of poll results from 3 April 2022 to present day

References

  1. "Izbori 2012: Rezultati i postizborna trgovina". Vreme (in Serbian). 10 May 2012. Archived from the original on 30 June 2022. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  2. Rudić, Filip (2 April 2017). "Vučić wins Serbian Presidential elections". Balkan Insight. Archived from the original on 12 June 2020. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  3. "Pobeda Vučića i SNS, Beograd još enigma". Deutsche Welle (in Serbian). 4 March 2022. Archived from the original on 3 April 2022. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  4. Bieber, Florian (July 2018). "Patterns of competitive authoritarianism in the Western Balkans". East European Politics. 38 (3): 337–54. doi:10.1080/21599165.2018.1490272.
  5. Maerz, Seraphine F; et al. (April 2020). "State of the world 2019: autocratization surges – resistance grows". Democratization. 27 (6): 909–927. doi:10.1080/13510347.2020.1758670.
  6. Lindberg, Staffan (2021). Autocratization Turns Viral: Democracy Report 2021. Gothenburg: V-Dem Institute.
  7. "Ekološki ustanak: Blokade paralisale Beograd, uspele preko očekivanja". N1 (in Serbian). 27 November 2021. Archived from the original on 21 March 2022. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  8. "U subotu blokade puteva duže od sat vremena i protest advokata". N1 (in Serbian). 1 December 2021. Archived from the original on 7 July 2022. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  9. Trkanjec, Zeljko (18 January 2022). "Serbs approve constitutional changes in referendum". Euractiv. Archived from the original on 7 July 2022. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  10. "RIK: Obrađeno 98,79 odsto glasačkih mesta, za "DA" glasalo 59,71 odsto". N1 (in Serbian). 17 January 2022. Archived from the original on 28 May 2022. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  11. "Gošće N1: Očekivana izlaznost, vlast olako pristupila referendumu". N1 (in Serbian). 16 January 2022. Archived from the original on 26 January 2022. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  12. "IPSOS/CeSID: Prvi preliminarni rezultati parlamentarnih izbora". N1 (in Serbian). 3 April 2022. Archived from the original on 27 May 2022. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  13. "CeSid: Zabeležene različite nepravilnosti na biračkim mestima". Danas (in Serbian). 3 April 2022. Archived from the original on 8 April 2022. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  14. "CRTA: Uočen veliki broj nepravilnosti, bugarski voz, a u Beogradu odbili da sarađuju sa posmatračima". Danas (in Serbian). 3 April 2022. Archived from the original on 8 June 2022. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  15. "Izbori u Srbiji: Zabilježene nepravilnosti i napadi na stranačke zvaničnike". Al Jazeera (in Bosnian). 3 April 2022. Archived from the original on 7 July 2022. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  16. Latković, Nataša (13 May 2022). "Prestrojavanja u opoziciji: Formiraju novu organizaciju, DS sve bliži "Moramo"". NOVA portal (in Serbian). Archived from the original on 13 May 2022. Retrieved 16 May 2022.
  17. "Grbović (PSG): Koalicija "Ujedinjeni za pobedu Srbije" praktično ne postoji". Danas (in Serbian). 28 April 2022. Archived from the original on 1 May 2022. Retrieved 1 May 2022.
  18. "Izglasana nova Vlada Srbije, premijerka i ministri položili zakletvu". N1 (in Serbian). 26 October 2022. Archived from the original on 26 October 2022. Retrieved 26 October 2022.
  19. "Novosti: Vučić formira Narodni pokret za državu i kreće u obilazak Srbije". N1 (in Serbian). 8 March 2023. Archived from the original on 9 March 2023. Retrieved 11 March 2023.
  20. Bjelotomić, Snežana (13 January 2020). "Electoral threshold reduced to 3%". Serbian Monitor. Archived from the original on 14 May 2020. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  21. "Electoral system of Serbia". Inter-Parliamentary Union. 2016. Archived from the original on 6 March 2016. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  22. Milovančević, Vojislav (29 October 2021). "Detalji sporazuma Vučića i opozicije iz Skupštine". NOVA portal (in Serbian). Archived from the original on 29 October 2021. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  23. "Cenzus tri odsto, na listama 40 procenata žena". Radio Television of Serbia (in Serbian). 8 February 2022. Archived from the original on 28 January 2022. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  24. "Serbia: National Assembly". Inter-Parliamentary Union. Archived from the original on 31 December 2022. Retrieved 31 December 2022.
  25. "Aleksandar Vučić u Smederevu: Izbori će biti najkasnije u septembru". Vreme (in Serbian). 14 May 2023. Retrieved 14 May 2023.
  26. Kuzmanović, Jasmina; Savić, Miša (14 May 2023). "Serbian Snap Vote Possible by September, President Vucic Says". Bloomberg. Retrieved 14 May 2023.
  27. Kovačević, Miladin (2022). Izbori za narodne poslanike Narodne skupštine Republike Srbije (PDF) (in Serbian). Belgrade: Republički zavod za statistiku. p. 7. ISBN 978-86-6161-221-3. Retrieved 14 December 2022.
  28. "Poslaničke grupe". National Assembly of Serbia (in Serbian). Archived from the original on 28 June 2022. Retrieved 3 August 2022.
  29. Mirilović, Filip (1 June 2022). "Aleksandar Jovanović Ćuta: Moramo se neće deliti kao amebe". Vreme (in Serbian). Archived from the original on 9 June 2022. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  30. "Deo koalicije "Moramo" formirao političku organizaciju "Zajedno"". Danas (in Serbian). 11 June 2022. Archived from the original on 11 June 2022. Retrieved 1 July 2022.
  31. "Politička platforma Solidarnost se priključila stranci Zajedno". Novinska agencija Beta (in Serbian). 20 January 2023. Retrieved 21 January 2023.
  32. Latković, Nataša (13 May 2022). "Prestrojavanja u opoziciji: Formiraju novu organizaciju, DS sve bliži "Moramo"". NOVA portal (in Serbian). Archived from the original on 13 May 2022. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  33. "SSP, PSG, Pokret za preokret i Sindikat Sloga zajedno u Skupštinu, predvodnik Marinika Tepić". Danas (in Serbian). 24 May 2022. Archived from the original on 25 May 2022. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.