2023 Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol provincial elections

The Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol provincial elections of 2023 is set to take place on 22 October 2023.[1] It is scheduled to be the final regional election in the country of 2023.

Background
Main articles: 2018 Italian general election in Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol, 2018 Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol provincial elections, and 2022 Italian general election in Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol

Since the 2018 Italian general election, many changes started to occur in the Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol political landscape. For the first time since the 1996 Italian general election, the centre-right coalition managed to defeat the centre-left coalition in Trentino in a general election. Shortly thereafter, the Trentino Tyrolean Autonomist Party (PATT) decided to run separately (German: Blockfrei), leading to the first victory of the Maurizio Fugatti-led centre-right coalition in a provincial election in Trentino since the start of the Second Italian Republic with the 1994 Italian general election.

In South Tyrol, the traditionally dominant-party system led by the South Tyrolean People's Party (SVP) lost its majority in the 2013 Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol provincial elections. In the 2018 general election, the SVP and the Democratic Party of the centre-left coalition lost their majority, forcing SVP to form a coalition with Lega due to the ethnischer Proporz system (Italian: proporzionale etnica). In the 2019 European Parliament election in Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol, the SVP broke their traditional alliance with the PD and joined forces with the centre-right Forza Italia. Similarly in the 2022 general election SVP and PATT decided to run separated from the centre-left and joined forced with some centre-right autonomist parties like Trentino Project.[2]

After Brothers of Italy became largest party in Trentino in the 2022 general election, FdI proposed Francesca Gerosa as the new centre-right candidate.[3] This led to a conflict with PATT, which joined the centre-right coalition in an election for the first time since 2001, which strongly spoke against her.[4]

Trentino

In Trentino, the president is elected directly by the people; the candidate who gains the most votes is elected president.

Politics of Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol

Parties and candidates
Political party or alliance Constituent lists Previous result Candidate
Votes (%) Seats
Centre-right coalition[5] League Trentino (LT) 27.1 13
Maurizio Fugatti
Trentino Tyrolean Autonomist Party–Popular Autonomists (PATT–AP) 15.6 4
La Civica (LC) 4.6 2
Trentino Project (PT) 3.2 1
Forza Italia (FI) 2.8 1
Union of the Centre (UDC) 2.1 0
Fassa Association (Fassa) 1.0 1
Democratic Alliance for Trentino[6] Democratic Party (PD) 13.9 4 Francesco Valduga
Futura Trentino 6.9 2
Campobase (CB) 4.0 1
Greens and Left Alliance (AVS) 1.4 0
Action – Italia Viva (A–IV) — —
More Europe (+E) — —
Italian Socialist Party (PSI) — —
Autonomy House (CA) — —
Five Star Movement (M5S) 7.2 1 TBA
Brothers of Italy (FdI) 1.4 0
Francesca Gerosa
Onda–People's Union[7] 0.8 0 TBA
Let's Change Together for the Autonomy of Trentino-Alto Adige[8] (incl. IAT, TAL, RT) — — TBA

Opinion polling
Date Polling firm Sample size Fugatti Generic CSX Gerosa M5S Autonomists Others Lead
March 2023 Winpoll – 35 39 17 7 — 2 3
29 45[lower-alpha 1] 18 6 — 2 16
23 36 16 6 17 2 13
49[lower-alpha 2] 43[lower-alpha 1] — 6 — 2 6

South Tyrol

Parties
Name Ideology Leading
candidate(s)		 2018 result Current seats
Votes (%) Seats
SVP South Tyrolean People's Party Christian democracy
Regionalism		 Arno Kompatscher[1] 41.9%
15 / 35
15 / 35
TK Team K Liberalism
Regionalism		 Paul Köllensperger
Maria Elisabeth Rieder[9]		 15.2%
6 / 35
4 / 35
Lega Lega Alto Adige Südtirol Right-wing populism
Regionalism		 TBA 11.4%
4 / 35
3 / 35
V–G–V Greens Eco-socialism
Regionalism		 Brigitte Foppa[10] 6.8%
3 / 35
3 / 35
dF Die Freiheitlichen National conservatism
Separatism		 Sabine Zoderer[11] 6.2%
2 / 35
2 / 35
STF South Tyrolean Freedom National conservatism
Separatism		 TBA 6.2%
2 / 35
2 / 35
PD Democratic Party Social democracy TBA 3.8%
1 / 35
1 / 35
M5S Five Star Movement Populism TBA 2.4%
1 / 35
1 / 35
FdI Brothers of Italy National conservatism TBA 1.7%
1 / 35
1 / 35
FI Forza Italia Liberal conservatism TBA 1.0%
0 / 35
1 / 35
ENZIAN ENZIAN COVID-19 scepticism
Regionalism		 Josef Unterholzner[12]
DNE
1 / 35

Opinion polling
Date Polling firm Sample size SVP TK Lega V-G-V dF STF PD M5S FdI ENZIAN Others Lead
Feb–Mar 2023 Apollis – 40 13 3 14 7 6 4 2 6 1 4 26
Early 2023 Komma (leak, incomplete) – 36.5 TBA 5 TBA TBA TBA TBA 5 8 TBA –[lower-alpha 3] N/A
Aug 2022 Apollis – 37 11 5 17 8 4 4 2 6 3 3 20
Jan 2022 Apollis – 42 8 8 14 6 7 4 1 4 1 5 28
Jul 2021 Apollis 1,001 43 9 10 13 4 7 6 2 2 0 4 30
21 Oct 2018 2018 provincial election 284,361 41.9 15.2 11.4 6.8 6.2 6.0 3.8 2.4 1.7 — 5.0 26.7

References
  1. "SVP-Leitung ernennt Arno Kompatscher zum Spitzenkandidaten". Südtirol News (in German). 28 February 2023. Retrieved 6 March 2023.
  2. "Progetto Trentino e le elezioni, appoggio al Patt e alla Svp, Grisenti: «L'unica scelta per l'autonomia»". ladige.it (in Italian). 19 August 2022. Retrieved 6 March 2023.
  3. "Fratelli d'Italia sfida Fugatti e lancia Francesca Gerosa come candidata presidente della Provincia". ladige.it (in Italian). 12 January 2023. Retrieved 6 March 2023.
  4. "Accordo Patt-Lega: c'è la fumata bianca. Marchiori: "Gerosa presidente con Fdi? Mai presa in considerazione, in quel caso non ci sarebbe stata alleanza"". il Dolomiti (in Italian). 1 March 2023. Retrieved 6 March 2023.
  5. "Provinciali 2023, l'Udc per il Fugatti-bis. Dopo non aver piazzato consiglieri 5 anni fa chiede una modifica a legge elettorale per attenuare premio di maggioranza". il Dolomiti (in Italian). 8 February 2023. Retrieved 6 March 2023.
  6. "Dagli autonomisti alla sinistra, al tavolo di coalizione ci sono tutti (ma non si parla di nomi)". il Dolomiti (in Italian). 12 January 2023. Retrieved 6 March 2023.
  7. "Onda e Unione Popolare (con Rifondazione Comunista) insieme per le Provinciali: "Siamo l'alternativa alla palude creata da Centrodestra e Centrosinistra"". il Dolomiti (in Italian). 6 April 2023. Retrieved 7 April 2023.
  8. "Cambiamo Insieme per l'Autonomia del Trentino Alto Adige". il Dolomiti (in Italian). 20 February 2023. Retrieved 9 March 2023.
  9. "Das Spitzenduo". Neue Südtiroler Tageszeitung (in German). 16 January 2023.
  10. "Schluss mit einem Südtirol im Standby". V–G–V (in German). 4 April 2023.
  11. "Freiheitliche: Pläne für die Landtagswahlen". RaiNews (in German). 5 February 2023.
  12. "Die No-Vax-Fraktion". Neue Südtiroler Tageszeitung (in German). 21 January 2023.
  1. incl. PATT
  2. incl. FdI
  3. FI 1.5%
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.